So one of the most lauded political writers in the country says that while conventional wisdom deems the reelection of the President, the CW is wrong.

“It’s not true,” writes Peggy Noonan in the Wall Street Journal. “It’s all wrong. Barack Obama can be taken, and his adversaries haven’t even noticed. In fact, he will likely lose.”

I am sorry to say that I disagree. I wish I didn’t have to. God knows, I don’t want to. This first black president from whom we expected and hoped for so much has just about got our country on the ropes in the two years he’s been in office. Six more years of his incompetent management and we’re going to be lumped in with third world nations. The fact he’s black has nothing to do with his inability to do the job. He was raised by white people and associated as an adult with a lot of whites he would have been better off to avoid.

Let’s start with Miss Noonan. While she has shown a splendid talent in writing — she’s most famous for writing the speech Ronald Reagan gave after the space shuttle Challenger blew up — her ability as a political prognosticator doesn’t come up to that. In fact, she has been kind of a kiss-up to Obama so it’s a surprise that she has finally gotten the message that he just hasn’t got it.

“The more that people experience his leadership, the less they like his leadership,” she said, which probably explains her sudden change of heart.

Though support of his leadership has been waning, his personal approval numbers remain high. Miss Noonan explains that as people who are unwilling to tell a pollster that they don’t like a man they elected two years ago, with excitement and hope, by a margin of 9.5 million votes.

“There are two things I have never heard, not once, in the past year,” she wrote, “I love this guy — I love Obama,” and “If only John McCain were president, everything would be better.”

The only hope of the president and the Democrats, says Miss Noonan, is that “Republicans in the early caucus and primary states will go crazy. They hope the GOP will nominate for the presidency someone strange, extreme or barely qualified.”

If the Republicans do that, they’ll be fielding a candidate just like the one the Democrats did three years ago who won.

My dictionary defines strange as “of relating to another country; not native to or naturally belonging in a place, not before known, heard or seen; exciting wonder or awe, strikingly uncommon.” Sound like anybody you know of?

The Wall Street Journal headlined a story “Who’s the Extremist Now?” that discussed Obama’s “willingness to shut down the entire federal government rather than see Planned Parenthood’s funding cut.”

And a man whose only experience as an adult was as a community organizer certainly was and has proven to be barely qualified for the most important job in the world. Why will Obama be reelected? He’d have to be found guilty of murder, rape or treason for black Americans to throw in the towel on him. Take them plus white Democrats who know the power structure begins in the White House and they’d stick with him no matter what he did.

Once, in Olympia, a member everybody hated got into a jam and was only rescued by an action of the Speaker, a fellow party member. Why, asked a disgusted listener, did you save that SOB? Because, said the Speaker, he’s our SOB.

Why will blacks and most Democrats vote to reelect Obama despite his being a dud as president? Because he’s their dud.